Bold Web Predictions for 2010
With another year coming to a close, it's time to look toward the near future. The following are my predictions for the web in 2010.
Twitter will steal a bit of Google's search thunder.
Twitter challenge Google search? You bet. The advantage twitter has over Google search is that Twitter provides almost to-the-second search results so if you want the most recent content, you can hit Twitter. While Google analyzes static content, Twitter provides you the "buzz", or most recently/frequently talked about links/information in a condensed format. Sometimes fewer options and information is a good thing.
Gmail and GChat will slowly become Google Wave.
Wave is clearly Google's successor to vanilla email (via Gmail) and instant messaging. Don't look for Gmail to disappear completely during 2010 but I expect Wave to completely integrate email capabilities by the end of 2010.
Facebook will grow in popularity despite continuing to disappointing its own users; Your mother will join Facebook.
Unfortunately Facebook will continue to add features that make their site more difficult to use and, in doing so, will continue to disregard the fury of its users. Facebook will continue to "out-think the room" in the features it adds. Facebook will also push its "Lite" version more toward an older audience. Your mother, in turn, will join. MySpace will continue to become the Geocities of social websites.
Internet Explorer 6 support will finally be dropped from 90+% of websites.
Many websites have already dropped IE6 support, which I feel is too soon, but we should all be able to rejoice by the end of 2010. Windows 7 will have been out for over a year and IT departments will be pushed into upgrading from XP so as to not allow employees to be two operating system versions behind. Persons with older PCs will also opt to upgrade to a newer system due to highly competitive pricing by Dell, Compaq, and Toshiba.
Webkit-based browsers will overtake Firefox; Mozilla will face a Web Designer/Developer rebellion.
Google Chrome has quickly become a developer favorite during 2009 and there's no reason to believe that affection will slow during 2010. Expect Chrome to debut a flexible plugin system during 2010 which will meet or exceed the flexibility provided by Firefox. As a result of Firebug's bugs and memory problems, Mozilla will start to draw the ire of the developers that made them so popular.
Windows 7 will be a giant success (on a Windows level).
Due to the garbage OS known as Vista and continued successful marketing by Microsoft, Windows 7 will become a huge success. Lets not discount the improvements made by Windows 7 though -- its UI and functionality improvements are to be recognized. IT departments will most definitely be pushed to update their outdated XP machines, begrudgingly or not. Mac fanboys wont notice a thing.
Digg will completely lose its developer/designer userbase and become "just another funny pics/vids" site.
Diggers' habits of promoting stupid pictures and videos will essentially ruin that last shreds of credibility the site has left and users will continue to leave. Kevin Rose will take "less of a role" with Digg in an effort to distance himself from Digg's direction.
The David Walsh Blog will continue to ascend.
More sweet MooTools, jQuery, CSS, PHP, and AJAX tutorials on the way...but then again, you already knew this.
What do you think? Am I crazy? Are these easy predictions? Tell me!